tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1867127488416158679.post5730143356232651942..comments2023-09-28T06:33:11.190-07:00Comments on Chariot of Reaction: Norway and the Wages of DespairJehuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16483263667086303029noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1867127488416158679.post-62592186330367071022011-07-25T21:01:25.559-07:002011-07-25T21:01:25.559-07:00RS,
My estimation of the probability of a decent o...RS,<br />My estimation of the probability of a decent outcome on the demographic hegemony issue is quite a bit higher than 5%---honestly, I'd put it close to even odds, especially if things fall apart economically.<br />I read him as being in the 130-145 range insofar as IQ is concerned and being pretty distinctly non-neurotypical. His social intelligence on the other hand isn't actually that bad, check out his recommendations of ways to maintain his cover, they're pretty damned good and rely on the fact that the neurotypical mind, when told a fairly embarrassing secret (e.g., being a WoW addict or having homosexual leanings) will almost always shut down and decline to look any further). Also look at his insights as to human behavior---e.g., he talks about letting people always have a perceived avenue to run, so that they're less likely to go kamikaze on you defensively. This is straight out of the Art of War. He strikes me as being a very geeky non-neurotypical with a pretty decent emulation mode.<br /><br />As to targetting teenagers & young adults, I'm really not certain ultimately what fruit his strategy will bear. I do know this, as a parent with dearly loved children, I'd think three or four times before joining a political party or taking a job if I thought there was a nontrivial probability of having blowback hit them, and that's if my commitment to said party or job was hardcore. If it were merely a matter of advancement, it'd become a total nonstarter. I'm really not certain as to the scale of the Norwegian political apparatus, although I've heard that the normal number of homocides in Norway is in the range of 30 or so, so his butcher's bill might well trigger my own 'estimation of nontrivial probability of blowback against my children' were I a leftist in Norway.Jehuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16483263667086303029noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1867127488416158679.post-5864189576354942182011-07-25T19:15:20.333-07:002011-07-25T19:15:20.333-07:00> My gut tells me his objective was to hurt the...> My gut tells me his objective was to hurt the elite by striking that which is most dear to them. When you must fight, but despair tells you you can not win, there is little left but the desire to inflict pain in return.<br /><br />Our situation is dark, but it would be highly unreasonable to think there is not, say, a 5% chance or more of a good outcome. (I would rate it higher than that; I pick this low number just because I think it is hard to disagree with.) Surely 5% is nothing negligible; not in the least. Therefore I don't see why he ought to be expected to act irrationally - unless he simply happened to have, like a fair fraction of people do, a rather irrational mind. But clearly he is in fact highly rational. <br /><br />And while people's surfaces can be deceiving, and sometimes self-deceiving as well, he shows every indication of having wanted to make a rational effort; he also shows explicit awareness that the broad social response to the attack is what matters - it doesn't matter in itself.<br /><br />So I really think he just has minimal psychosocial intelligence, and that is the reason kids wound up targeted. His IQ is very high, but his EQ may be below the 7th percentile or so. If it were even modestly higher, he would have targeted adults only, if anyone. I would therefore predict that he has had notably low-status friends and notably undesirable lovers, to the extent that he has had either one at all - in spite of being handsome, interesting, and probably good to his friends. The wiki bio doesn't have much information on friends/lovers so far.RSnoreply@blogger.com